Challenges of Running a SEM firm in South East and North Asia

Ok this question is tough to answer... and I know that instead of thinking about challenges, one should think about opportunities or solutions for those challenges...
Well I am (and always be) a student of life so I don't think I am qualified enough to talk about solutions yet.

Besides I am sure there are many challenges and I won't be able to cover them all so feel free to join in through emailing me at chandlerblog@gmail.com

Southeast Asia and North Asia is a diverse region



It is known that we are diverse in terms of local languages, in different stages of economic/online infrastructure development. We have countries like Myanmar who are still under military regime, Thailand with political unrest since 2003-2004.

One practical example is each country has its own currency. Since the economic crisis started, the exchange rates between different currencies have been fluctuating a lot. If you are running regional campaigns in KRW, HKD, JPY, NTD with Yahoo (Yahoo only accepts local currency) in KR, HK, JP and Taiwan, but the contract you have with your client is in USD and you pay all corporate expense in SGD then you are exposed to exchange rate and it can be severe.

The agency can't run away from not using Yahoo either since Yahoo (and its partners) is the more popular search engine network in those countries
well I guess every regional company face this problem. However, the point here is that if you just operate in North America, Europe or AU, you won't have to.

As for different local languages, this region present a unique challenge compared to other regions as well: an agency must have native speaking employees in order to do the job well. Ad copies, keywords, meta title, link building etc... All need to be done in local languages.

Different working cultures, business cultures make managing expectation much more difficult i.e. people in HK for example are working extremely long hours compared to some other countries (I won't name which one to avoid any offenses) so turn around time for them is much shorter.

In addition, different search engine teams in the region have different work process/procedure or SLAs (Service Level Agreement) as well: (hey even with the same search engine, different teams like SG vs. HK vs. JP are different) request for proposals, payment term, credit limit, internal policy regarding account transfer etc... are all different.

Even for Google, who has the most convenient platform for managing PPC campaign, have some country specific issues. For example, if an existing account was opened directly with Google KR, using KRW to pay for the media spend then a new agency outside of KR has no way to take over that account. What I mean by that is the agency will have to create a mirror account and start from scratch since:

• They don't have physical address in KR and Google KR does not allow a company outside of KR to pay in KRW.
• In order to pay in KRW to Google, a company must have a physical billing address in KR.

Starting a new account from scratch means all historical data, quality score etc.. are all gone. Not only that the average CPC of the new account will be likely to be higher than the existing one for a while until it accumulates enough clicks and have high quality score again and so forth.

Well, I am not trying to complain how nice/easy life the agencies in US, Europe or AU have compared to this region (hell I know they face stiff competition, laser thin profit margin etc.. as well). Yet they don't have so much issue with regards to diversification like us I supposed.

Total Revenue and Operating margin




SEM includes both Pay per Click (or Paid Search) and SEO (Search Engine Optimization).
However, the cost model for PPC and SEO are totally different.

Pay per Click margin



Most agencies charge clients account management fee as a percentage of media spend. (I know there are other cost models like CPA-Cost per Acquisition, CPL-Cost per Lead, etc... however they are not popular yet).
This percentage, in most cases, ranges from 4-5% to 20%. This is NET Gross Profit by the way since most search engines no longer offer rebate unless you are a reseller.

For example, let say the search spend is $100, then the gross GP to an agency ranges from $4-$5 to $20.

One could ask a couple of questions at this point:

• Why the wide percentage range?
There are many reasons for this.

For example, in certain territories, the understanding about Paid Search is quite limited. Traditional creative/media agencies use search only when there is some money left over on the table so they just charge the client a very small percentage of account management since the budget is so small for them and they don't make money there anyway.

This has been going on for a while and created the wrong perception from the client side. (Hell, I would think that some guy is trying to rip me off as well if normally I only pay 4% fee and now they want me to pay 10% or more!)

However, we know how complicated Search Engine Marketing can be and it's really hard work! 4-5% is simply not enough for any decent SEM agencies to cover off all of their operating expenses.
For most cases, if agency only charges 4-5% management fee, that means the client receive a "4-5% level of service". I know it's ugly to say it but it's true and I come across campaigns like this.
I am not going to give a straight forward numerical example because I believe it's very easy to see what 4-5% out of say US $15k equals to.
When the monthly budget is around US $1 mil or something then it's a different story. However, even at that level, 4-5% is just too little but well many clients are used to this level of management fee in certain territories.

On the other side of the scale are those with 20% management fee. It would be wrong to generalize and say that it's too high or too low. Search Engine Marketing is a professional service so hiring a SEM agency is just like hiring a lawyer. Depending on individual needs, the values the lawyer can bring to the table, the fee will be different.
This is not the main point I want to bring across those. It's the second question below.

• Is the Gross GP low or high?

Frankly speaking, I think for an agency that provides only Paid Search service, their operating margin will be very small as a percentage. It seems smaller providing this is new Media, the internet where other firms in other industries are having much higher operating margins.

Coupling with the low budget allocated to search as a percentage in the whole marketing mix, Paid Search agencies will have a tough time.

Search Engine Optimization margin



It's proven that Paid Search and SEO needs to work together to provide best results. You would want to "diet and exercise at the same time to keep your body healthy" (I learnt this example from my boss).
Yet, the adoption rate for SEO is still very low in this region. It's partly because of the fact that Paid Search can provide immediate results while SEO is changing all the time and most clients don't know how to define KPIs for SEO projects.

Having said that SEO will provide better profit margin for agencies and allow them to function as normal businesses. Until that happens most pure SEM agencies in the region will struggle to make ends meet or produce less than satisfactory results from an investor point of view.
Why do I have to invest in a company that produce only less than 4-5% operating margin (let alone earning percentage) when I can invest in other companies that yield much better return?

It's challenging to look at a business plan, understand where all the cost, profit are and realize a complete different picture for a pure SEM agencies.

For this post, i focus solely on the commercial challenges for a SEM firm in the region, not mentioning about human resource issue, the long client education journey etc...

My hope is that we (the industry as a whole) won't follow the footstep of airline industry in which the volume of traffic is increasing leaps and bounds but not many airlines are making money.
Of course at the end of the days, agencies can ONLY make money long term if they in turn provide good services to their clients and help their clients make money...

Ok that's all from me for now. I am going to a friend house to enjoy some authentic Vietnamese food now! Yay

Cheers and have a nice weekend everyone!
Chandler
P.S: I pressed the "Publish post" by accident while i was still half way through this post so some of you may receive the wrong version of this article. I am very sorry for that. Accident happens sometimes!

Singapore Statistics

Well i have been obsessed with different type of numbers lately and so today i want to share a few key Singapore statistics as a country. This is to continue the conversation with my flatmate over lunch.

All of the statistics can be found on Statistics Singapore: Key Annual Indicators.
Even though i know that numbers in silo won't do anyone any good. However, I won't try to read between the lines too much but rather give suggestions only.

ok here goes....

1. Population:



  • Total population (as of 2008): 4.839 millions
  • Singapore residents: 3.642 millions (include of 3.164 mil Singaporeans and 0.478 mil Singapore permanent resident)
  • Foreign workers and ex pats: 1.197 mil
  • Foreign workers, expats and PRs over Singaporeans: (1.197+0.478) / 3.164 = 52.9%

Yup, for every 2 Singaporeans, there is 1 foreigner staying here in Singapore!

There are many ways to go from here like: racial/social harmony, debate over the need for foreign talents in Singapore, Singapore internal market place or how it is compared to Hong Kong for example?

  • Hong Kong total population (as of 2008): 7.008 mil
  • By 2006, 95% of the population are Chinese, followed by Filipino 1.6%
Obviously Hong Kong population is much higher than Singapore and the percentage of non Chinese is much lower.

2. Economic Indicators:


  • GDP as of 2008: SGD $257.418 billion
  • GAP per capita: SGD $53,192
  • GDP per Capita excluding people below 15 and above 65: SGD $67,700

I know any kinda of comparison between countries will be imperfect taking into consideration cost of living, purchasing power and so forth.
But well if you are in Singapore and knowing this number at least you know where you stand on average.

(Additional resource from Wiki: List of countries by GDP (Purchasing Power Parity) )

  • GDP in Q1/09 compared to Q1/08: -9.6%
  • Employment Mar09: 2.951 mil
  • Monthly Wages/Earnings Q4/08: 4,229
  • There are plenty of meaningful graphs which you can find under Statistical Charts section as well like Real Economic Growth, Visitor Arrivals, International Telephone call Minutes etc...
We have so many valuable numbers from this site. However, the tricky thing is to understand them in their respective context and it's obviously beyond the scope of this post/my capacity T_T to go that far so i will leave it here.
For information about Singapore Online Stats, please go to Hitwise Singapore data center. This month industry spotlight is about Retail Industry

Cheers,
Chandler

Acknowledgement

Hi all,

First of all, thank you for reading this post and this blog!
This is my 99th post and i am truly excited, grateful!

I am grateful because it has been a wonderful journey for me ever since i started this blog. I have the chance to get to know so many new friends during the past 3 years.

A bit background info about myself
I am lucky enough to find what i love to do early in life and that's one of the most wonderful gifts one can get. Being able to throw oneself wholeheartedly at something is not easy to find and when you found it, oh well! it can only get better and better as time goes by.

It reminds me of the "Commencement address by Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple Computer and of Pixar Animation Studios, delivered on June 12, 2005"

"You've got to find what you love. And that is as true for your work as it is for your lovers. Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven't found it yet, keep looking. Don't settle. As with all matters of the heart, you'll know when you find it. And, like any great relationship, it just gets better and better as the years roll on. So keep looking until you find it. Don't settle."


It may come as a surprise but i actually have a degree not in marketing or IT but an engineering degree in IC (Integrated Circuit) Design. It's one of those very niche fields that only a few percentage of engineers would go into. If i followed my major, i would probably work in a lab right now, wearing those white color lab clothes that you often see on TV.
Luckily i realized early that i am not smart enough, patient enough or simply don't love IC design so i decided to switch completely. One thing led to another and well 5 years later here i am :)

I am not sure if any of my bosses will read this post but i would like to thank them anyway because not only I have learnt so much from them but also they allow me to have the time to read and write :) For that i am truly thankful!
(Realistically not many companies/agencies are like us in Singapore where employees still have a normal work life and a social life)

I am also thankful to my colleagues, ex colleagues, friends and business partners who
  • inspired me with interesting topics:
If I were Yahoo Chief for Search Engine Marketing
How to Take over A PPC account from another agency
and so on...
  • contributed guest posts
Online Marketing: The lack of thought and Initiative

  • helped me to collect/translate materials to write
Information about Vietnam markets
Baidu Paid Search series

For those who know me personally, I have a very short term memory but well all of your efforts are remembered and much appreciated!
This blog has always been strictly for professional purpose. However, moving forwards i will
start expanding out to cover some parts of my personal life and i hope you don't mind that :)

In the next couple of months, i will shift my focus more on the holistic approach to Digital marketing because i feel that it starts to become a must, not a "nice to have" to integrate different Online mediums into a good Digital Plan.
Of course, you still need to take care of the basics first before trying to jump into more sophisticated fields like Social Media, Mobile Marketing etc...
Web Analytics, of course, will continue to play a central role in all of this. However, advertisers also need to realize that Web Analytics can't do everything and the industry is still in its early development stage.

In addition, i will write more about Vietnam as well because i am a Vietnamese :P and i would love to see the industry's booming in Vietnam. There are challenges but many of us start to see the light at the end of the tunnels!

That's all for now from me! I hope you enjoy what you have read so far from this blog and i always welcome any comments/feedback you may have.
Just ping me via chandlerblog@gmail.com

Cheers... and once again thank you all my bosses, colleagues, ex colleagues, friends and business partners!

Chandler

Can RedNano survive as a Local Search Engine?

For those who don't know who RedNano is, it is the child of Singapore Press Holdings Group (SPH), the state own media powerhouse and a Norway company.
So far, RedNano has been advertising heavily, trying to muscle its way into Local Search Engine business, just like the way Mocca (an online classified portal owned by MediaCorp) did with so many hours of TV ads, MRT ads, print ads etc...

However, up until now, i have failed to see how RedNano can be successful as the "First Local Search and Directory Engine". Below are the reasons why:
(Please note that i have no personal grudge against RedNano in anyway and i dun know anyone from RedNano team. The below is just my personal opinion)

1. Who needs another Generic Local Search Engine in Singapore?



With the overly dominant size of Google and the trailing Yahoo in second place, if you are a consumer in Singapore, why you need to use another search engine?

The latest stats from Hitwise clearly shows us that

search engine market share in singapore may 2009









From the table above, for the 24 weeks ending 02nd of May 2009, Google commands 73.2% of the market share, Yahoo has 21.36%, MSN Live Search is no 3 with only 2.15%
The three search engines in total occupy 96.71% of the market share!

18 months ago in Sep 2007, according to Hitwise, Google only had 58.5% and Yahoo had 35% of the market share. At this rate, sooner rather than later, Google will reach 80% or even 95% of the market.

+) RedNano has very little market share in Singapore, even though it's branded as a local search engine with a huge amount of marketing spend and the support from SPH
+) People are creature of habit (myself included :) and they just won't start switching from Google or Yahoo to use RedNano simply because of the massive PR/marketing activities
+) Google clearly dominates the market place.
Besides, Google can always start providing Local Search service in Singapore when it sees fit since the technology is already there for them.
+) Many "blind" tests have been conducted to show that people think Google's search results are more relevant than Yahoo or other search engines partly because of the perceived perception of the brand and this is a great barrier to any new comers to the search engine business.

2. RedNano Actual Search Results



On Rednano home page, one of the most popular search terms at the moment is "travel agencies"

popular search term on rednano home page










When i click on it, it redirects me to the directory list first and below are the top results

travel agency directory page on rednano












Personally i don't see any of the big local agencies like Chan Brothers, Asa etc... and i will immediately question why this page is the first page that i see after clicking on top search terms.

I tried again the terms "travel agencies" but this time viewed the Web Result.

travel agencies rednano search result page












Come on, how "travelpear" can appear twice above the fold and none of the famous local agencies come up on the first page?!

Similar results are seen with keywords like "singapore travel agencies"

If RedNano fails to show me the "greater relevancy" from its search results then why i need to switch from Google

3. Singapore is just too small as a market



Well this is no brainier really. Singapore has only 3.6 million citizens and Permanent residents (according to Statistics Singapore by year end 2008). (Yup only 3.6 millions!)
Total population (including foreign workers, expats etc...) is only 4.8 millions!

Out of 3.6 million residents, only 2.6 million are between the ages 15-64. I assume this part of the population use internet more heavily and have more purchasing power.
From IDA Singapore, the internet penetration rate is around 80% so let's say the total number of frequent internet users in Singapore is 2.8 millions users (2.1 million users from the Residents pool and 0.7 million users from Foreigner pool). This number is already higher than the number provided by InternetWorldStats.

Just to be fair, Singapore internet users conduct 164 million searches per month (according to monthly data for Apr, Jul and Sept by comScore 2008)
Search per Searcher for Singapore is, on average, 100 per month so this is not bad for a small population like Singapore.

Based on all the numbers above, we can roughly calculate that all other search engines (not only RedNano) in Singapore only command about 3.29% of the market share or 5.4 million searches per month.

(At this point, i wanted to dig deeper, trying to figure out with that 5.4 millions searches/month, how much the potential earning is for search engine like RedNano assuming an average click through rate on Paid ads, together with average CPC.
However, there are no publicly reliable data on the average click rate on paid ads on RedNano yet and we can't use the ones from Google and Yahoo simply because the interface is quite different. Average CPC does not exist yet for RedNano i believe)

4. Scalability issue



This is a very big issue, scalability. After years of working in Singapore market, i am painfully aware of how low the search volume in Singapore is compared to other regional markets, let alone more mature markets.
With such low search volume, no agencies are willing to promote RedNano aggressively just in Singapore because the return is just too low. If RedNano can't rely on agency to sell search inventories for them, they have no choice but to partner with Google or Yahoo

I recently came across the news that RedNano partnered with Yahoo to be part of Yahoo Search Network. Joining other people network instead of promoting your own means only 1 thing, your revenue needs to be shared with others and hell, the search market share for RedNano is already small.

If RedNano wants to reach out to SouthEast Asia markets, then i imagine it virtually has to start from scratch again. It's because RedNano is in local search engine business (be it web search, mobile, image etc...) So i guess massive work need to be involved to localize the current technology to suit other SEA markets due to the difference in languages, infrastructure etc..

Southeast Asia is more challenging in that way, it's too diverse. Besides, each country is at different stage of development from political stability, to e commerce infrastructure, to laws etc...

5. RedNano Search Engine Marketing platform



From "Advertise with us" section, RedNano offers Search Engine Marketing plan with fixed price per month and unlimited clicks.

This is absurd! This model is even worse than the way Yahoo SEA used to sell Keyword Search using CPM model
The old Yahoo CPM model worked like this: advertisers buy keywords just like the way they buy banner. Different keywords will have different fixed price based on their search volume on Yahoo.

From that time, Singapore market has been getting more and more savvy so i am very doubtful if RedNano model will work again even for SME market. I am pretty sure MNCs won't accept this model because
  • It's hard to evaluate the results
  • Even with dirt cheap pricing, resources still need to be allocated if a company decides to test this out. However, the volume i can imagine is painfully low.
It may work for some advertisers because of the low effective CPC for some keywords. However, this won't work for larger crowd.

In addition, the only reason any search engine would want to "play" with this model is because they don't have enough search volume to command better price.

How sophisticated RedNano SEM platform is from an advertiser point of view is another question also.

  • Can it do ad rotation?
  • Landing page rotation?
  • What type of keyword matching option is available?
  • Does it have an offline tool to manage campaigns?
  • Reporting interface? simple data like impressions, click, cost per click etc...?
  • How ad ranking is determined?

6. RedNano directory service



Yup, it looks like RedNano wants to go into Online Directory services as well.

My question is Why? again

People nowadays use Search Engine almost exclusively to find whatever they don't know. Agree that we can't always find what we want from generic search engines like Google and Yahoo hence the need for vertical search engines like Hungrygowhere.com for places to eat, Mocca for classified ads, Streetdirectory.com for mapping services etc...

The question here is how RedNano fits into this picture.
How much traffic RedNano imagine it can get to be able to earn enough money to survive? Is it trying to do so many things at once instead of just focusing on 1 key vertical?

Right now RedNano offers: web search, directory, image search, people, map etc... Basically everything!

From advertiser point of view, what is the value proposition of RedNano Directory listing? Why would the mass need a generic Directory service anyway? How often one uses Directory?
How about eGuide? YellowPages?

7. Search Engine ties with PC makers



Google and Yahoo dominate the distribution game by having ties with computer makers like Dell, HP, Lenovo embedding their search engines as the default engine on Internet Explorer or Firefox.

One can't underestimate the power of this distribution channel simply because people are lazy and when they see a search box, they just simply type in what they want.
Only affluent users, who either like Google/Yahoo too, will bother to change the default search engine settings on their browser.

Danny Sullivan wrote a beautiful post to discuss in dept about the power of the distribution channel so i won't repeat it here again.

In short, it might be my ignorance that i couldn't see a way out for RedNano. How long did they estimate that they can break even and through which model?
Feel free to email me to discuss your thoughts/comments.

What"s Next?